CorrelateAI › Pairs

US Forest Area vs US Rural Population

US Forest Area and US Rural Population correlate at r = -0.81 over 34 years (1990–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.19. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.19 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
-0.81
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
34 (1990–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.90 to -0.65
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.19

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.