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US GDP (current US$) vs US Inflation Rate

US GDP (current US$) and US Inflation Rate correlate at r = -0.29 over 65 years (1960–2024), p = 0.018. With the time trend removed, r = -0.12. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.018) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.12). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.29
p-value
0.018
Years compared (n)
65 (1960–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.50 to -0.05
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.12

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.