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US Health Expenditure vs US Population

US Health Expenditure and US Population correlate at r = +0.92 over 24 years (2000–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.52. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.52). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.92
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
24 (2000–2023)
95% confidence interval
0.82 to 0.96
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.52

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.