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US Imports vs US Secondary School Enrollment

US Imports and US Secondary School Enrollment correlate at r = +0.70 over 35 years (1971–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.01. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.01 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
+0.70
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
35 (1971–2022)
95% confidence interval
0.48 to 0.84
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.01

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.