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US Inflation Rate vs US R&D Expenditure

US Inflation Rate and US R&D Expenditure correlate at r = +0.39 over 28 years (1996–2023), p = 0.039. With the time trend removed, r = +0.48. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.039) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.48). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.39
p-value
0.039
Years compared (n)
28 (1996–2023)
95% confidence interval
0.02 to 0.67
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.48

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.