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US Inflation Rate vs US Secondary School Enrollment

US Inflation Rate and US Secondary School Enrollment correlate at r = -0.54 over 35 years (1971–2022), p = 8.7e-4. With the time trend removed, r = -0.23. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 8.7e-4) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.23). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.54
p-value
8.7e-4
Years compared (n)
35 (1971–2022)
95% confidence interval
-0.74 to -0.25
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.23

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.