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US Inflation Rate vs US Tax Revenue

US Inflation Rate and US Tax Revenue correlate at r = +0.51 over 53 years (1972–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.44. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.44). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.51
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
53 (1972–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.28 to 0.69
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.44

Sources

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