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London Average Temperature vs US Unemployment Rate
London Average Temperature and US Unemployment Rate correlate at r = -0.50 over 35 years (1991–2025), p = 0.0021. With the time trend removed, r = -0.49. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0021) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.49). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- -0.50
- p-value
- 0.0021
- Years compared (n)
- 35 (1991–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.72 to -0.20
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.49
Sources
- London Average Temperature (°C): Open-Meteo (ERA5). Annual mean 2m air temperature for London from the ERA5 reanalysis.
- US Unemployment Rate (% of labor force): World Bank. US Unemployment Rate (World Bank indicator SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS).
Related pairs
- US Unemployment Rate vs US Youth Unemployment (r = +0.98)
- US Military Expenditure vs US Unemployment Rate (r = +0.80)
- London Average Temperature vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.77)
- London Average Temperature vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.76)
- London Average Temperature vs Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) (r = +0.75)
- London Average Temperature vs US Population Aged 65+ (r = +0.75)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.