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Tokyo Average Temperature vs US Exports

Tokyo Average Temperature and US Exports correlate at r = +0.55 over 55 years (1970–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.24. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.24 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
+0.55
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
55 (1970–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.34 to 0.71
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.24

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.