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US Dollar to Euro vs Sunspot Number

US Dollar to Euro and Sunspot Number correlate at r = +0.66 over 27 years (1999–2025), p = 2.0e-4. With the time trend removed, r = +0.65. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 2.0e-4) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.65). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.66
p-value
2.0e-4
Years compared (n)
27 (1999–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.37 to 0.83
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.65

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.