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US Dollar to Euro vs US Exports

US Dollar to Euro and US Exports correlate at r = -0.53 over 26 years (1999–2024), p = 0.0049. With the time trend removed, r = -0.53. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0049) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.53). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.53
p-value
0.0049
Years compared (n)
26 (1999–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.76 to -0.19
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.53

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.