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US Dollar to Euro vs US Youth Unemployment

US Dollar to Euro and US Youth Unemployment correlate at r = -0.56 over 27 years (1999–2025), p = 0.0021. With the time trend removed, r = -0.61. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0021) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.61). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.56
p-value
0.0021
Years compared (n)
27 (1999–2025)
95% confidence interval
-0.78 to -0.24
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.61

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.