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US Military Expenditure vs US Youth Unemployment

US Military Expenditure and US Youth Unemployment correlate at r = +0.79 over 34 years (1991–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.78. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.78). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.79
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
34 (1991–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.62 to 0.89
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.78

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.