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US Dollar to Japanese Yen vs US Homicide Rate

US Dollar to Japanese Yen and US Homicide Rate correlate at r = +0.58 over 22 years (1999–2023), p = 0.0048. With the time trend removed, r = +0.58. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0048) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.58). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.58
p-value
0.0048
Years compared (n)
22 (1999–2023)
95% confidence interval
0.21 to 0.80
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.58

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.