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US Dollar to Japanese Yen vs Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+)

US Dollar to Japanese Yen and Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) correlate at r = -0.46 over 27 years (1999–2025), p = 0.015. With the time trend removed, r = -0.38. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.015) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.38). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.46
p-value
0.015
Years compared (n)
27 (1999–2025)
95% confidence interval
-0.72 to -0.10
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.38

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.