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US Dollar to Japanese Yen vs US Unemployment Rate
US Dollar to Japanese Yen and US Unemployment Rate correlate at r = -0.73 over 27 years (1999–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.74. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.74). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- -0.73
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 27 (1999–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.87 to -0.49
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.74
Sources
- US Dollar to Japanese Yen (JPY per USD): Frankfurter (ECB). Annual mean US Dollar to Japanese Yen exchange rate (European Central Bank reference rates).
- US Unemployment Rate (% of labor force): World Bank. US Unemployment Rate (World Bank indicator SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS).
Related pairs
- US Unemployment Rate vs US Youth Unemployment (r = +0.98)
- US Military Expenditure vs US Unemployment Rate (r = +0.80)
- US Dollar to Japanese Yen vs US Youth Unemployment (r = -0.75)
- US Dollar to Japanese Yen vs US Solar Energy Consumption (r = +0.72)
- US Tax Revenue vs US Unemployment Rate (r = -0.70)
- US Dollar to Japanese Yen vs US Military Expenditure (r = -0.68)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.