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US Dollar to Japanese Yen vs US Bank Lending Interest Rate

US Dollar to Japanese Yen and US Bank Lending Interest Rate correlate at r = +0.46 over 23 years (1999–2021), p = 0.028. With the time trend removed, r = +0.42. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.028) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.42). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.46
p-value
0.028
Years compared (n)
23 (1999–2021)
95% confidence interval
0.06 to 0.73
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.42

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.