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Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) vs US Annual CO₂ Emissions

Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) and US Annual CO₂ Emissions correlate at r = -0.31 over 46 years (1979–2024), p = 0.038. With the time trend removed, r = +0.08. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.038) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.08). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.31
p-value
0.038
Years compared (n)
46 (1979–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.55 to -0.02
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.08

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.