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Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) vs US Energy Use per Capita

Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) and US Energy Use per Capita correlate at r = +0.60 over 47 years (1979–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.16. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from 0.60 to 0.16 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
+0.60
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
47 (1979–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.38 to 0.76
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.16

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.