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Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) vs US Solar Energy Consumption

Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) and US Solar Energy Consumption correlate at r = -0.50 over 43 years (1983–2025), p = 6.8e-4. With the time trend removed, r = +0.33. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.50, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.33. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
-0.50
p-value
6.8e-4
Years compared (n)
43 (1983–2025)
95% confidence interval
-0.69 to -0.23
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.33

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.