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US Energy Use per Capita vs US Birth Rate

US Energy Use per Capita and US Birth Rate correlate at r = +0.30 over 60 years (1965–2024), p = 0.021. With the time trend removed, r = +0.01. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.021) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.01). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.30
p-value
0.021
Years compared (n)
60 (1965–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.05 to 0.51
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.01

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.