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US Fertility Rate vs US Exports
US Fertility Rate and US Exports correlate at r = -0.35 over 54 years (1970–2023), p = 0.010. With the time trend removed, r = -0.00. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.010) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.00). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- -0.35
- p-value
- 0.010
- Years compared (n)
- 54 (1970–2023)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.56 to -0.09
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.00
Sources
- US Fertility Rate (children per woman): Our World in Data. US Fertility Rate (Our World in Data: Total fertility rate).
- US Exports (% of GDP): World Bank. US Exports (World Bank indicator NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS).
Related pairs
- US Fertility Rate vs US Birth Rate (r = +0.91)
- US Exports vs US Imports (r = +0.90)
- US Exports vs US Life Expectancy (r = +0.89)
- US Fertility Rate vs US R&D Expenditure (r = -0.89)
- US Exports vs US College Enrollment (r = +0.87)
- US Fertility Rate vs US Annual Working Hours per Worker (r = +0.87)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.