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US Natural Gas Consumption vs US Unemployment Rate

US Natural Gas Consumption and US Unemployment Rate correlate at r = -0.36 over 35 years (1991–2025), p = 0.034. With the time trend removed, r = -0.46. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.034) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.46). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.36
p-value
0.034
Years compared (n)
35 (1991–2025)
95% confidence interval
-0.62 to -0.03
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.46

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.