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US Homicide Rate vs US Net Migration
US Homicide Rate and US Net Migration correlate at r = -0.53 over 31 years (1990–2023), p = 0.0023. With the time trend removed, r = -0.49. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0023) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.49). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- -0.53
- p-value
- 0.0023
- Years compared (n)
- 31 (1990–2023)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.74 to -0.21
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.49
Sources
- US Homicide Rate (per 100,000 people): Our World in Data. US Homicide Rate (Our World in Data: Homicide rate per 100,000 population).
- US Net Migration (people): World Bank. US Net Migration (World Bank indicator SM.POP.NETM).
Related pairs
- US Homicide Rate vs US Rural Population (r = +0.94)
- US Homicide Rate vs US Urban Population (r = -0.94)
- US Homicide Rate vs US Life Expectancy (r = -0.91)
- US Homicide Rate vs US Nuclear Power Generation (r = -0.89)
- US Electricity Generation vs US Homicide Rate (r = -0.87)
- US Homicide Rate vs US Imports (r = -0.86)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.