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US Oil Consumption vs US Federal Debt Outstanding
US Oil Consumption and US Federal Debt Outstanding correlate at r = +0.36 over 61 years (1965–2025), p = 0.0047. With the time trend removed, r = -0.56. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.36, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.56. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- +0.36
- p-value
- 0.0047
- Years compared (n)
- 61 (1965–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.12 to 0.56
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.56
Sources
- US Oil Consumption (TWh): Our World in Data. US Oil Consumption (Our World in Data: Oil).
- US Federal Debt Outstanding (USD): U.S. Treasury. Total US federal debt outstanding at the end of each fiscal year (U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data).
Related pairs
- US Renewable Energy Share vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.99)
- US Wind Power Generation vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.99)
- US Federal Debt Outstanding vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.97)
- US Federal Debt Outstanding vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.95)
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.95)
- US Natural Gas Consumption vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.