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Sunspot Number vs US Federal Debt Outstanding

Sunspot Number and US Federal Debt Outstanding correlate at r = -0.03 over 236 years (1790–2025), p = 0.657. With the time trend removed, r = -0.14. Not statistically significant.

Verdict: Not statistically significant. With n = 236, this correlation isn't statistically significant (p = 0.657). It could easily be chance.

Pearson r
-0.03
p-value
0.657
Years compared (n)
236 (1790–2025)
95% confidence interval
-0.16 to 0.10
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.14

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.