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US Federal Debt Outstanding vs US Cereal Yield
US Federal Debt Outstanding and US Cereal Yield correlate at r = +0.90 over 64 years (1961–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.41. Interpret with caution.
Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from 0.90 to 0.41 once the trend is removed.
- Pearson r
- +0.90
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 64 (1961–2024)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.83 to 0.94
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.41
Sources
- US Federal Debt Outstanding (USD): U.S. Treasury. Total US federal debt outstanding at the end of each fiscal year (U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data).
- US Cereal Yield (kg per hectare): World Bank. US Cereal Yield (World Bank indicator AG.YLD.CREL.KG).
Related pairs
- US Renewable Energy Share vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.99)
- US Wind Power Generation vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.99)
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US Cereal Yield (r = +0.98)
- US Cereal Yield vs US Population (r = +0.97)
- US Federal Debt Outstanding vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.97)
- US Cereal Yield vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.97)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.