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US Federal Debt Outstanding vs US Tax Revenue

US Federal Debt Outstanding and US Tax Revenue correlate at r = -0.18 over 53 years (1972–2024), p = 0.205. With the time trend removed, r = +0.23. Not statistically significant.

Verdict: Not statistically significant. With n = 53, this correlation isn't statistically significant (p = 0.205). It could easily be chance.

Pearson r
-0.18
p-value
0.205
Years compared (n)
53 (1972–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.43 to 0.10
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.23

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.