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Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Unemployment Rate
Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) and US Unemployment Rate correlate at r = +0.37 over 35 years (1991–2025), p = 0.031. With the time trend removed, r = +0.49. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.031) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.49). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- +0.37
- p-value
- 0.031
- Years compared (n)
- 35 (1991–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.04 to 0.62
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.49
Sources
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (earthquakes per year): USGS. Annual worldwide count of magnitude 5+ earthquakes (USGS ComCat).
- US Unemployment Rate (% of labor force): World Bank. US Unemployment Rate (World Bank indicator SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS).
Related pairs
- US Unemployment Rate vs US Youth Unemployment (r = +0.98)
- US Annual Working Hours per Worker vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.89)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Infant Mortality (r = -0.82)
- US Fertility Rate vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.80)
- US Military Expenditure vs US Unemployment Rate (r = +0.80)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Birth Rate (r = -0.77)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.