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Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) vs US Exports

Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) and US Exports correlate at r = +0.32 over 55 years (1970–2024), p = 0.016. With the time trend removed, r = +0.05. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.016) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.05). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.32
p-value
0.016
Years compared (n)
55 (1970–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.06 to 0.54
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.05

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.