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Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) vs US Youth Unemployment

Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) and US Youth Unemployment correlate at r = +0.39 over 35 years (1991–2025), p = 0.021. With the time trend removed, r = +0.33. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.021) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.33). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.39
p-value
0.021
Years compared (n)
35 (1991–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.06 to 0.64
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.33

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.