CorrelateAI › Pairs
US Birth Rate vs US Exports
US Birth Rate and US Exports correlate at r = -0.73 over 55 years (1970–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.04. Likely spurious (shared time trend).
Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.04 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.
- Pearson r
- -0.73
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 55 (1970–2024)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.83 to -0.58
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.04
Sources
- US Birth Rate (per 1,000 people): World Bank. US Birth Rate (World Bank indicator SP.DYN.CBRT.IN).
- US Exports (% of GDP): World Bank. US Exports (World Bank indicator NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS).
Related pairs
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Birth Rate (r = -0.95)
- US Adult Obesity vs US Birth Rate (r = -0.93)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Birth Rate (r = +0.92)
- US Birth Rate vs US Resident Patent Applications (r = -0.92)
- US Fertility Rate vs US Birth Rate (r = +0.91)
- US Birth Rate vs US R&D Expenditure (r = -0.91)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.