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US Death Rate vs US Exports

US Death Rate and US Exports correlate at r = -0.37 over 55 years (1970–2024), p = 0.0052. With the time trend removed, r = -0.54. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0052) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.54). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.37
p-value
0.0052
Years compared (n)
55 (1970–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.58 to -0.12
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.54

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.