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US Death Rate vs US Youth Unemployment

US Death Rate and US Youth Unemployment correlate at r = -0.39 over 34 years (1991–2024), p = 0.024. With the time trend removed, r = -0.34. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.024) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.34). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.39
p-value
0.024
Years compared (n)
34 (1991–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.64 to -0.05
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.34

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.