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US Gross Savings vs US Youth Unemployment

US Gross Savings and US Youth Unemployment correlate at r = -0.49 over 34 years (1991–2024), p = 0.0034. With the time trend removed, r = -0.57. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0034) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.57). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.49
p-value
0.0034
Years compared (n)
34 (1991–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.71 to -0.18
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.57

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.