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US Bank Lending Interest Rate vs US Tax Revenue

US Bank Lending Interest Rate and US Tax Revenue correlate at r = +0.55 over 50 years (1972–2021), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.42. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.42). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.55
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
50 (1972–2021)
95% confidence interval
0.32 to 0.72
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.42

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.