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London Average Temperature vs Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September)

London Average Temperature and Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) correlate at r = -0.58 over 47 years (1979–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.14. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from -0.58 to 0.14 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
-0.58
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
47 (1979–2025)
95% confidence interval
-0.74 to -0.35
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.14

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.