CorrelateAI › Pairs

London Average Temperature vs US Fertility Rate

London Average Temperature and US Fertility Rate correlate at r = -0.40 over 64 years (1960–2023), p = 0.0012. With the time trend removed, r = +0.15. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0012) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.15). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.40
p-value
0.0012
Years compared (n)
64 (1960–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.58 to -0.17
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.15

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.