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New York Average Temperature vs US Fertility Rate
New York Average Temperature and US Fertility Rate correlate at r = -0.54 over 64 years (1960–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.13. Interpret with caution.
Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from -0.54 to -0.13 once the trend is removed.
- Pearson r
- -0.54
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 64 (1960–2023)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.69 to -0.34
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.13
Sources
- New York Average Temperature (°C): Open-Meteo (ERA5). Annual mean 2m air temperature for New York from the ERA5 reanalysis.
- US Fertility Rate (children per woman): Our World in Data. US Fertility Rate (Our World in Data: Total fertility rate).
Related pairs
- US Fertility Rate vs US Birth Rate (r = +0.91)
- US Fertility Rate vs US R&D Expenditure (r = -0.89)
- US Fertility Rate vs US Annual Working Hours per Worker (r = +0.87)
- US Dollar to British Pound vs US Fertility Rate (r = -0.86)
- US Fertility Rate vs US Wind Power Generation (r = -0.86)
- US Fertility Rate vs US Solar Energy Consumption (r = -0.81)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.