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Sydney Average Temperature vs Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September)

Sydney Average Temperature and Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) correlate at r = -0.47 over 47 years (1979–2025), p = 7.5e-4. With the time trend removed, r = -0.06. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from -0.47 to -0.06 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
-0.47
p-value
7.5e-4
Years compared (n)
47 (1979–2025)
95% confidence interval
-0.67 to -0.22
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.06

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.