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Tokyo Average Temperature vs US Female Labor Force Participation

Tokyo Average Temperature and US Female Labor Force Participation correlate at r = -0.36 over 36 years (1990–2025), p = 0.031. With the time trend removed, r = -0.06. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.031) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.06). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.36
p-value
0.031
Years compared (n)
36 (1990–2025)
95% confidence interval
-0.62 to -0.04
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.06

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.