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Tokyo Average Temperature vs US Unemployment Rate
Tokyo Average Temperature and US Unemployment Rate correlate at r = -0.34 over 35 years (1991–2025), p = 0.049. With the time trend removed, r = -0.29. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.049) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.29). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- -0.34
- p-value
- 0.049
- Years compared (n)
- 35 (1991–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.60 to -0.00
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.29
Sources
- Tokyo Average Temperature (°C): Open-Meteo (ERA5). Annual mean 2m air temperature for Tokyo from the ERA5 reanalysis.
- US Unemployment Rate (% of labor force): World Bank. US Unemployment Rate (World Bank indicator SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS).
Related pairs
- US Unemployment Rate vs US Youth Unemployment (r = +0.98)
- Tokyo Average Temperature vs Atmospheric Methane (global) (r = +0.86)
- Tokyo Average Temperature vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.83)
- Tokyo Average Temperature vs US Natural Gas Consumption (r = +0.83)
- Tokyo Average Temperature vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.83)
- Tokyo Average Temperature vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.81)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.