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US Dollar to Euro vs Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September)

US Dollar to Euro and Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) correlate at r = +0.43 over 27 years (1999–2025), p = 0.026. With the time trend removed, r = +0.51. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.026) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.51). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.43
p-value
0.026
Years compared (n)
27 (1999–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.06 to 0.70
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.51

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.