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Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) vs US Coal Consumption

Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) and US Coal Consumption correlate at r = +0.37 over 47 years (1979–2025), p = 0.0097. With the time trend removed, r = -0.04. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0097) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.04). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.37
p-value
0.0097
Years compared (n)
47 (1979–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.10 to 0.60
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.04

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.