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Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) vs US Agriculture Value Added

Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) and US Agriculture Value Added correlate at r = +0.49 over 25 years (1997–2021), p = 0.012. With the time trend removed, r = -0.02. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from 0.49 to -0.02 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
+0.49
p-value
0.012
Years compared (n)
25 (1997–2021)
95% confidence interval
0.12 to 0.74
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.02

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.