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Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) vs US Female Labor Force Participation

Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) and US Female Labor Force Participation correlate at r = +0.39 over 36 years (1990–2025), p = 0.020. With the time trend removed, r = +0.05. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.020) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.05). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.39
p-value
0.020
Years compared (n)
36 (1990–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.07 to 0.64
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.05

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.