CorrelateAI › Pairs

US Fertility Rate vs US Death Rate

US Fertility Rate and US Death Rate correlate at r = +0.40 over 64 years (1960–2023), p = 0.0011. With the time trend removed, r = +0.18. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0011) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.18). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.40
p-value
0.0011
Years compared (n)
64 (1960–2023)
95% confidence interval
0.17 to 0.59
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.18

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.