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US Federal Debt Outstanding vs US Unemployment Rate

US Federal Debt Outstanding and US Unemployment Rate correlate at r = -0.25 over 35 years (1991–2025), p = 0.154. With the time trend removed, r = -0.16. Not statistically significant.

Verdict: Not statistically significant. With n = 35, this correlation isn't statistically significant (p = 0.154). It could easily be chance.

Pearson r
-0.25
p-value
0.154
Years compared (n)
35 (1991–2025)
95% confidence interval
-0.54 to 0.09
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.16

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.